Short note – Coal

  1. Market pricing for metallurgical coal is going nuts in China – right now it is north of US$400/ton cfr (and given how gong-showed marine transportation logistics are these days, freight is not a trivial expense).
  2. QB2, at US$4.00/pound of copper, will generate about US$1.7 billion EBITDA on a 100% basis and after baking in 40% taxes, Teck should be able to generate an incremental US$700 million/year in cash out of this project.
  3. Arch’s net debt probably peaked out at Q2-2021 and at this point forward, it will be generating significant sums of cash.


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