Buffett's Stock Market Indicator
By sajid.karsan on Mon, 2009-02-09 05:17
(via barelkarsan.com)
It makes a lot of sense that the aggregate value of a country's stock market should be correlated with its Gross National Product (GNP). In this 2001 article, Buffett argues that while "the [stock market value to GNP] ratio has certain limitations in telling you what you need to know...it is probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment."
Here's a look at this ratio for the last several decades:
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