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Spinoff Odds & Ends: thyssenkrupp Buyer, Conti’s Delayed IPO and Gannett Proxy Battle Victory

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  • Lets kick off the week with another edition of the always eclectic Spinoff Odds and Ends: 1) Thyssenkrupp Update We provided an update on thyssenkrupp’s (TKAMY) new ‘strategic direction’ last week.
  • The JV with Tata Steel is out and the elevator business spinoff was scrapped for an IPO instead.
  • Just a few days later though, the story seems… Read More »

Patsy in the Game

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  • It means that the student continues to believe that coin is fair, even if has landed heads 99 times in a row!
  • A man of “experience, understanding and sophistication” will reason that the probability of the coin being rigged is vasty more than 1 in a 1,267,650,600,228,229,401,496,703,205,376 chance.
  • What are these games in the world of financial markets?

Out of Adient (ADNT)

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  • When the share price fell below $14 in late March I was tempted back and reestablished a position.
  • As of mid-May the shares are back under $18.
  • But before I reestablish a position I want to see how low the share price will go.

(Ep.11) The Acquirers Podcast: Dan Rasmussen – Private Equity, Replicating PE In Public Markets

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  • So, it doesn’t matter if you think a company is good, if you everyone else thinks it’s good.
  • We don’t know what the future is gonna hold, so you might as well buy it cheap.
  • That is what investors do, that is what investment models do, they forecast prices.

Nugget Fest (May 16th Edition)

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  • “If you took our top fifteen decisions out, we’d have a pretty average record.
  • It wasn’t hyperactivity, but a hell of a lot of patience.
  • You stuck to your principles and when opportunities came along, you pounced on them with vigor.–Charlie Munger

Two Dividend Stocks Being Beaten Up For The wrong Reasons

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  • You can check out my complete list of dividend industrial stocks here .
  • The company expects the completion of this project in mid-2019.
  • In 2018, the company presented a plan to integrate all its partners into a single company.

9 Important Investment Advice from Warren Buffett that will Make You a Complete Investor

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Heed the Oracle. These 9 nuggets have been selected to change your thinking to that of a superinvestor

Ignore Buffett: Book Value is Still Relevant for Value Investors

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Warren Buffett is abandoning book value as a metric to value Berkshire Hathaway stock. Does this mean we, value investors, should follow suit? Not at all, and here are the reasons why.

Bank of Canada addresses Climate Change in their Financial System Review

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  • Transition costs will be felt most in carbon-intensive sectors, such as the oil and gas sector.
  • If some fossil fuel reserves remain unexploited, assets in this sector may become stranded, losing much of their value.
  • I would rank the ability for climate change to cause a systemic financial disaster in the Canadian financial system to be on par with the risk of a moderately large asteroid hitting the planet and causing wide-scale disruption – both events would be “climate-related”, per se, and cause real disruption.

Some links

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  • On Gazprom and why some Value Investments need catalysts

A New Barber in Town

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  • I read this story on Aircel’s lenders agreeing to take a 99% haircut on dues worth Rs 20,000 crore.
  • And decided to take a (pathetic) shot at poetry on a Saturday morning…

Typical research sweep

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  • Another way is to go through 13F-HR filings of various fund managers I respect and try to examine some of their holdings.
  • Corepoint’s financials don’t show an entity making a ton of money on operations and are instead banking on land.
  • The income statement is very low margin and the industry is competitive to the point where they’d need to be the lowest cost producer on the virtue of localized economies of scale – this has been tried before in many instances.

Deep Work Habits

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  • “I organize my life in such a way that I get lots of long, consecutive, uninterrupted time chunks…I’ve invested significant effort to minimize the shallow in my life while making sure I get the most out of the time this frees up.
  • Deep Work = When decide to work, don’t waste time, and work efficiently.
  • Be mindful of task trying to accomplish and focus only on that task — no switching, no distractions!

Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) Dividend Stock Analysis

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Linked here is a detailed quantitative analysis of Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM). Below are some highlights from the above linked analysis:

Company Description: Qualcomm Incorporated focuses on developing products and services based on its advanced wireless broadband technology...

Fair value adjustments and some quirky accounting rules

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  • For example, under “Other income (expense)”, the entire $4.591 million under “Loss on Financial Instruments” consists of fair value adjustments.
  • $2.569 million of the $4.591 million consists of a mark-to-market adjustment on the fair value of warrants the company has outstanding.
  • Therefore, the company “lost” $2.6 million and this has to be reported on the income statement as a financial expense.

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