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  • The always excellent Valuesque blog with some insights on how to manipulate round EPS numbers A great list of attributes from A16Z on how to analyze market place businesses The epic Semper Augustus annual letter (128 pages…) Another AirBnB scam, this time in London Very interesting deep dive why most AI (startup) companies are mostly not software companies but service businesses The art of defining EBITDA for tech companies Yetanothervalueblog with a deep dive into Wrestling (WWE)

No Recession Warning Now

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  • Last month the Philly Fed index also spiked.
  • Even though
    the expectations index was up, the capex index fell from 32.9 to 29.8.
  • If the impact of the virus peaks in February and March with a quick recovery outside of Hubei, there will be 5.3% Q1 GDP growth and 5.9% yearly growth.

Warren Buffett speaks, Shake Shack earnings, Nevada caucus reaction: 3 things to watch for Monday

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  • Buffett's letter typically gives Wall Street an idea of how he and his partner Charlie Munger view the current state of the stock market.
  • Fast food chain Shake Shack reports fourth quarter earnings after the bell on Monday.
  • The Nevada caucuses could present an opportunity for former Vice President Joe Biden, who maintained the lead for months, to bounce back against Sanders.

Best Dividend Achievers from the 2020 List

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  • The list contains over 250 companies to choose from and you certainly don’t want to wait another 15 years to identify Microsoft as a dividend growth investment.
  • You can download the Dividend Achievers List here:
  • Hasbro now sells more toys than Mattel and this trend is not about to end soon.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Dividend Stock Analysis

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Linked here is a detailed quantitative analysis of Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). Below are some highlights from the above linked analysis: Company Description: Johnson & Johnson is a leader in the pharmaceutical, medical device, and consumer products industries. Fair Value: In calculating fair value, I consider the NPV MMA Differential Fair Value along with these four calculations of fair value, see...

5 things to know before the stock market opens Friday

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  • While the cause of that rapid decline in the Dow remains unknown, some traders were pointing to a report out of China about a sharp increase in coronavirus cases at a hospital in Beijing.
  • The vast majority of cases and deaths are in China.
  • Warren has spent $91 million.

Buffett watchers await word on whether the 'Oracle of Omaha' is close to finding his 'elephant'

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  • And this year, investors will be eager to see whether Berkshire has gotten any closer to the "elephant-sized" acquisition that has eluded Buffett over the last several years.
  • The "Oracle of Omaha" told CNBC this time last year that despite Berkshire's lackluster performance of late, he was keen to make an eye-popping acquisition for the portfolio.
  • The S&P 500 has outperformed Berkshire on a one-year, three-year, five-year and 10-year basis as pricey, high-growth tech stocks led (and continue to lead) to stock market records.

This Week’s Best Investing Articles, Research, Podcasts 2/21/2020

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  • Here’s a list of this week’s best investing reads:
  • This week’s best value-investing reads:
  • This week’s best investing research reads:

Tom Gayner On Position Sizing And Strategy

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  • In this episode of the VALUE: After Hours Podcast, Taylor, Brewster, and Carlisle discussed Tom Gayner on position sizing and strategy.
  • Tobias Carlisle:
    That’s kind of the thing that I find sometimes in my PA and more discretionary holdings in the past.
  • Bill Brewster:
    So if you need that tracking position to feel that, I think that’s important.

TAM Stock Screener – Stocks Appearing In Greenblatt, Dalio, Simons Portfolios

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  • Part of the weekly research here at The Acquirer’s Multiple features some of the top picks from our Stock Screeners and some top investors who are holding these same picks in their portfolios.
  • Jim Simons – 1,268,652 total shares held
  • Joel Greenblatt – 117,640 total shares held

Will The Housing Market Strength Last?

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  • This report was much better as permits rose to 1.551 million which was the highest reading in nearly 13 years as you can see from the chart below.
  • The Minutes said , the “current stance of monetary policy was appropriate.” That’s despite the market pricing in 1-2 rate cuts in the next year as the chart below shows.
  • Based on recent inflation data, it appears core PCE inflation will rise to 1.8% in January which isn’t enough to move monetary policy.

All German Shares part 16 (Nr. 301-325)

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  • WCM is now majority owned by another listed real estate company, TLG and currently has a market cap of 700 mn.
  • Big name, little market cap: 1.2 mn.
  • A 1.5 mn market cap company that changes its name frequently.

New Hedge Fund Newsletter Just Released

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  • The new Q4 issue of our hedge fund newsletter is now available.
  • It reveals the latest portfolios of 25 top hedge funds and also features summaries of 2 stocks that Dr. Michael Burry (of The Big Short fame) has been buying.
  • - Reveals the latest portfolios of 25 top hedge funds ( full list here ); Now also includes Sequoia Fund

5 things to know before the stock market opens Thursday

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  • Claims last week came in as expected at 210,000.
  • China's National Health Commission reported an additional 114 coronavirus deaths, and 394 new confirmed cases.
  • The White House issued a vigorous defense of the Trump administration's economic agenda Thursday — claiming credit for changing the trajectory of the nation's record expansion, while taking aim at the Obama administration's record.

Dan Loeb: Latest Activist Positions

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  • Basically, any investor that takes a 5% position in a company has to file a beneficial ownership filing in the form of a 13D or 13G, within ten days of the event.
  • If the investor does not intend to influence management they are considered to be a passive investor and required to file a 13G.
  • This week we’ll take a look at Dan Loeb.

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