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Lessons for Business Founders from Tupac Shakur

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  • “It’s time for us as a people to start making some changes.”
  • Many people had a hard time for a relatively long time understanding what the Internet would become.
  • If a founder is not willing to do the work necessary to create the business, they will fail.

Some links

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  • Off topic: rest in Peace Aretha Franklin

Case Study on Managing A Company

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  • A very interesting presentation of how Barrick is planning its future.

Valuation Driven Buy Idea: Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (NYSE: PK)

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  • The Company’s brand affiliations include Conrad Hotels & Resorts, DoubleTree, Embassy Suites, Hampton, Hilton Hotels & Resorts, Hilton Garden Inn, Curio – A Collection by Hilton, and Waldorf Astoria Hotels & Resorts.
  • The firm also believes that it can fetch good pricing for the hotels it is shedding.
  • Second, EBITDA margin forecasts for the current year are up due to the expected gains on sales, but drop to 22% in 2019 (slightly higher than 2017 figure of ~20%), reflecting higher expected margins from the core properties.

Catching the knife with Gran Colombia

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  • But this week oil stocks and gold stocks joined in the carnage and I was not well positioned for that.
  • But this week the bottom fell out of all of them, in particular Roxgold, Gran Colombia, Jaguar and Golden Star got creamed.
  • So the stock is trading at a little over 3x free cash flow using the company’s own guidance.

Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) Dividend Stock Analysis

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Linked here is a detailed quantitative analysis of Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP). Below are some highlights from the above linked analysis:

Company Description: Automatic Data Processing Inc., one of the world's largest independent computing services companies, provides a broad range of data processing services...

You Aren’t Going To Be Right All The Time

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  • When you are trying to find great businesses early, intelligent fanatics early, before it’s obvious in the financials, there are a lot of moving parts and imperfect information.
  • These companies ...

Dundee – Preferred Shares

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  • They’ve had to inject emergency capital into the entity and Dundee had to float them a $15.5 million loan at an interest rate of ….
  • Given that Dundee is behind $546 million dollars of first and second-lien debt in Paragron’s capital structure, Dundee is faced with a horrible choice – give it up, or dump more money into the fireplace.
  • Clearly they can currently, but will the entity figure out a way to eventually make money to be able to pay these dividends in the future?

This Week’s Best Investing Reads 08/17/2018

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  • Here is a list of this week’s best investing reads:
  • This week’s best investing research reads:
  • This week’s best investing podcasts:

The Best of the Aleph Blog, Part 39

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  • “What municipalities lose businesses and people?
  • The more a municipality tries to milk its businesses and people, the more the businesses begin to hit their flinch point, and look for greener pastures.
  • Prices of assets change based on the relative desire of buyers and sellers to buy or sell shares near the existing prior price level.

Canada Goose: Brings Back Memories Of Other Fashion Stock Heydays

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  • Here is a chart of Michael Kors (KORS) stock since its late 2011 IPO.
  • Here is the chart since the 2017 IPO:
  • Put another way, if the business grows from $420 million this year to $2.2 billion in 10 years, and the shares trade at 2.5x EV/revenue at that point in time, the stock price will go nowhere even though sales would have grown by 424%!

Is Ted Baker the perfect dividend growth stock?

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  • That happy little success story is somewhat interesting, but as an investor what’s more interesting is the company’s near-perfect growth record.
  • Well, Ted Baker listed on the London Stock Exchange in 1997 and from then onwards its revenues and dividends (which it started paying in 1999) have increased every single year.
  • And if it wasn’t for a minor one-year decline after the financial crisis, its profit growth would be just as impressive.

TAM Stock Screener – Undervalued Mammoth Energy Services Inc (NASDAQ: TUSK)

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  • If we move over to the company’s latest income statements we can see that Mammoth has $282 Million* in trailing twelve month operating earnings which means that the company is currently trading on an Acquirer’s Multiple of 5.56, or 5.56 times operating earnings.
  • Other considerations regarding Mammoth include the company’s trailing twelve month revenue of $1.546 Billion, which is higher than any one of the full-year revenues posted in the past five years.
  • The company has a strong balance sheet with a net cash position of $11 Million and zero debt.

Seth Klarman: Top 10 Holdings, New Buys, Sold Out Positions

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  • These documents allow investors to track their favorite superinvestors, their fund’s current holdings, plus their new buys and sold out positions.
  • As a new weekly feature, we’re now providing the top 10 holdings, new additions to the portfolio, and sold out positions from some of our favorite superinvestors based on their latest 13F-HR documents.
  • Seth Klarman acquired an additional $200 million of Tesla Inc. convertible bonds during the second quarter of 2018.

TAM Stock Screener – Stocks Appearing in Greenblatt, Simons, Dalio Portfolios

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  • One of the new weekly additions here at The Acquirer’s Multiple features some of the top picks from our Stock Screeners and some top investors who are holding these same picks in their portfolios.
  • Investors such as Warren Buffett, Joel Greenblatt, Carl Icahn, Jim Simons, Prem Watsa, Jeremy Grantham, Seth Klarman, Ray Dalio, and Howard Marks.
  • A quick look at the price chart below for Dicks Sporting Goods shows us that the stock is up 35% in the past twelve months.

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