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Isaac Schwartz: Macro, Technical Analysis, And Value Investing

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[Archives] Forecasting Bankruptcy More Accurately: A Simple Hazard Model

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  • Single-period bankruptcy models give biased and inconsistent probability estimates while hazard models produce consistent estimates.
  • 1 Most researchers have estimated single-period classification models, which I refer to as static models, with multiple-period bankruptcy data.

Aswath Damodaran: Estimating An Optimal Debt Ratio

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A Look At Returns: Coke Vs Russian Stocks

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William Browne: A Look Inside Benjamin Graham’s Tool Box

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Olstein Funds: The Impact Of The Quality Of Earnings On Valuing Companies

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  • Do financial statements and other filings allow us to understand the reality of the company's unique business fundamentals, competitive edge and ability to generate free cash flow? Does company management engage in conservative or aggressive accounting practices? Is all material information necessary to evaluate the company properly disclosed?

Ariel Fund Q1 2015 Commentary

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  • True, no fund has a spotless record: Ariel Fund ranks in the 70th percentile over the 10-year period.
  • In the six years between the March 9, 2009 bottom and March 9, 2015, Ariel Fund ranks number one in the 259 funds in this same category.
  • Of the 21 new holdings today, 11 came between March 2009 and March 2012 and 10 more in the last three years.

Kim Shannon Of Sionna Investment Managers On Value Investing

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  • She received her CFA in 1987 and her MBA in 1993 from the University of Toronto.
  • Kim founded Sionna in the summer of 2002, and has 25 years of investment management experience.
  • She is a past President of the Toronto CFA Society and is currently on the Boards of the Canadian Coalition for Good Governance, the Accounting Standards Oversight Committee and the CFA Institute's Financial Analysts Seminar.

Michael Yogg On Paul Cabot- Passion for Reality

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  • Cabot founded one of the first mutual funds-State Street Investment Corporation-in the early 1920s, campaigned against the corrupt practices of certain other funds in the late 1920s, and lobbied on behalf of key New Deal securities legislation in the 1930s.

Ten Pieces Of Great Advice From Buffett, Bloomberg, And More

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  • In her new book, Getting There: A Book of Mentors , Gillian Zoe Segal surveys a number of business stars for insights on how they got to the corner office.
  • "Successful people make it look so easy-but they never said it was. In Getting There: A Book of Mentors, the highest achievers share some of their lowest moments, and there is much wisdom to be gained from those struggles. Captivating, thought-provoking, humorous, and uplifting, this book delivers straight-from-the-source accounts of what it is really like to achieve something meaningful."

Frank Martin: Why We Worry Top-Down, Invest Bottom-Up [Slides]

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  • "We are reminded again of the warning from the distant past from our mentor, Ben Graham, which I have quoted before: 'Only 1 in 100 survived the 1929-1932 debacle if one was not bearish in 1925.' We continue to be early -and bearish!" - Prem Watsa, Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd 2013 Letter to Shareholders.

Guy Spier: The Education Of A Value Investor [Slides]

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Aswath Damodaran: Choosing The Right Multiple, Asset Based Valuation

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Singapore Value Investing: 3 Key Points About Tai Sin Electric

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  • We highlight 3 key points about Tai Sin Electric for potential dividend investors.
  • Earnings consistency is always important for a dividend play and Tai Sin will have little issue in ticking that box.
  • Based on its current price of SGD0.35, investors are rewarded with a dividend yield of 6.4% which we believe to be sustainable, given that it corresponds to a payout ratio of 0.7x. Our payout ratio differs from the conventional and is calculated by dividing dividends paid with free cash flow.

On Being A Forced Seller in a Panic

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  • Guess what? Even though he planned ahead, the plan did not consider true disasters, where two things fail at the same time.
  • The time plan for a flat tire is before you have one.
  • The planning is best done in the good times, like now.

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